Axel Tonini: "Agriculture and Dairy in Eastern Europe after Transition, focused on Poland and Hungary"

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9 Feb 2007 13:30
Unit: Wageningen University
Location: Aula, building 362, Gen. Foulkesweg 1, Wageningen
Organisation: Wageningen University
Promotor: prof.dr.ir. A.J. Oskam (Agricultural Economics and Rural Policy)
Co Promotor: R. Jongeneel

This thesis analyzes the transition of an economic sector, from a socialist system to a market economy. The first part deals with sectoral economic analysis for Central Eastern European Countries (CEECs). The second part is focused on two countries (Poland and Hungary) and the dairy sector. Results of the first part indicate that total factor productivity growth rates were positive across during the post socialist period. Adjustment costs were greater and increasing over time for Hungary as compared to Poland. Results of the second part showed that the dairy supply elasticities estimates were not so different from those found for EU-15 countries in the pre-quota period. In addition it is confirmed that the calibrated elasticities used in the literature are not far from reality. The dairy farm size projections showed that dairy farms will continue to decline in the coming decade, although with an increase in the farms of medium and large size.
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